Trump is also going to get black and Hispanic voters who never voted for him in 2016. How many is the defining question.
Are the young voters energized to vote or does Biden lose them. Meaning they never bother to vote.
I also think that there are many Americans who are honest with themselves. Although they hate his bombast and sometimes downright foolish things that Trump says and tweets, they recognize that the man has done many good things for the America we all share. Much more than any other modern President. They also look at a clearly senile Biden who has prospered through shady political dealings with foreign countries, then look at his backup with the most liberal voting record in the Senate, and I think will come to the conclusion that they can't vote for either candidate and will abstain.
What we learned in the last election is that Trump supporters hide in the polling process. Why is that different now?
I bet Trump because he has restored prosperity for all working Americans through deregulation and lower corporate and individual taxes. He has had an incredibly successful foreign policy, has taken on China, something several Presidents who proceeded him should have done, but didn't have the acumen and or balls to do. He has done as much as anyone anywhere in the world to galvanize the biotech community and the manufacturing community to work on scientific solutions to covid. He has appointed, not conservative judges, as the libs and media like to portray them, but originalists who believe in defining the law not making it. They simply believe that the Supreme Court was to be the weakest branch of government. The real power of the government should go back to the Executive and legislative branches. They don't believe in activist jurists, either conservative or liberal.
Lastly, I believe that many although not near enough of the American people have seen the bullshit that liberals tried to sink this Presidency with. They see it fed by a lying, partisan media. And they don't like either of those things.
In Trump they have the most transparent President in not only American history, but the history of the world. He talks to the people and answers to the media almost every day.
I have faith that the American people will vote for the person who will continue to have ALL their interests in mind, Donald J Trump.